Michael Spencer at the Christian Science Monitor claims that the evangelical church structure is about to collapse.
We are on the verge – within 10 years – of a major collapse of evangelical Christianity. This breakdown will follow the deterioration of the mainline Protestant world and it will fundamentally alter the religious and cultural environment in the West.Within two generations, evangelicalism will be a house deserted of half its occupants. (Between 25 and 35 percent of Americans today are Evangelicals.) In the "Protestant" 20th century, Evangelicals flourished. But they will soon be living in a very secular and religiously antagonistic 21st century.
This collapse will herald the arrival of an anti-Christian chapter of the post-Christian West. Intolerance of Christianity will rise to levels many of us have not believed possible in our lifetimes, and public policy will become hostile toward evangelical Christianity, seeing it as the opponent of the common good.
Millions of Evangelicals will quit. Thousands of ministries will end. Christian media will be reduced, if not eliminated. Many Christian schools will go into rapid decline. I'm convinced the grace and mission of God will reach to the ends of the earth. But the end of evangelicalism as we know it is close.
He paints a bleak picture, but even if he's right it will not mean the end of Christianity. Perhaps the end of Christianity as a dominant world culture, but Christianity isn't primarily a culture, it's a faith. Historically Christianity thrives in persecution (and has an easier time staying doctrinally sound).
It would have been nice if the author had included at least a little evidence for all those conclusions.
You might want to run the numbers on numbers of Evangelicals, Catholic, and Orthodox. There are fewer Evangelicals than you might think. A billion and change Catholics and 300M+ Orthodox mean plenty of Christianity. Evangelical collapse will not reduce their influence one iota.